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Seldon Vault icon

Seldon Vault

Multi-agent system analyzes over 200 sources daily, producing regular probabilistic forecasts across global domains like politics, economics, technology, and military. Analyst agents propose, debate, and refine forecasts with Bayesian inference in English and Russian. Free, open API.

Daily forecast with probability, Skeptic review, and agent analyses

Cost / License

  • Free
  • Proprietary

Platforms

  • Online
Cascade narrative: causal chains linking forecasts (war ? oil ? recession)
Pipeline audit: full transparency from raw signals to published forecasts
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What is Seldon Vault?

Seldon Vault is a multi-agent AI system that generates daily probabilistic forecasts for global events across geopolitics, economics, technology, military, cybersecurity, social dynamics, and climate.

Inspired by Hari Seldon's psychohistory from Isaac Asimov's Foundation series.

How it works:

  • 8 specialized AI analyst agents process 200+ news sources daily (RSS, GDELT, UCDP)
  • Each analyst proposes forecasts with probabilities and reasoning
  • An adversarial Skeptic agent (Claude Opus) tries to disprove every forecast, with web search fact-checking
  • A Seldon Arbiter (Claude Opus) synthesizes surviving forecasts into the daily digest
  • LLM Council: each analyst runs across 3 different AI models (DeepSeek, GPT-5.4, Claude) and they debate
  • Forecasts update every 6 hours via Bayesian inference with likelihood ratios
  • Cascade narratives link forecasts into causal chains (war ? oil ? recession)
  • System tracks its own accuracy with Brier Scores

Fully bilingual (English + Russian). Public API with 15+ endpoints. Interactive world map. D3 causal graphs. Free forever, no signup required.